Haymaker Daily
On forecasts & flight
Hello, Subscribers:
Prediction Markets like PredictIt, Kalshi, and Polymarket have quickly gained a reputation as highly accurate forecasters for elections, important economic releases, stock market performance, athletic events and, even, geopolitical developments.
PredictIt has the best accuracy rate, exceeding 90%. Kalshi isn’t far behind at 78%. Polymarket is the least prescient at 67%, but it also has the highest volume of betting activity; apparently, though, it is vulnerable to manipulation by larger “punters”.
